The War Against Iran Is a Regime Change Operation

There is no logic to the claim that a supposed Iranian nuclear weapons program poses a threat and must be dismantled for the sake of peace in the Middle East

The war against Iran unleashed by Israel had been in the cards not for years, but for decades. It is first and foremost a regime change operation by USA-Israel, supported by all the globalist Western elite. There are several reasons why it is necessary to draw this conclusion, apart from the fact that this has now been declared by Israeli PM, Netanyahoo.

Currently, the lack of condemnation from the Western globalists of Israel’s blatant crime of aggression, the “the supreme international crime", against Iran, speaks volumes. As an example of this was Macron’s press conference following Israel’s first strikes on Iran.

Chancellor Merz of Germany and the Germany Foreign ministry has made similar comments in strong support for the aggressor : Israel.

This confirms once again that the Western political and financial elite is willing to throw international law under the bus if it can somehow prevent the unpreventable; the move towards a multipolar world.

The US Goal Is Regime Change

Regarding the United States, Iran was part of Bush junior’s “Axis of Evil” in his State of the Union address on January 29, 2002. Retired General Wesley Clarke (Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO from 1997 to 2000) famously recalled (in the 00s) that he got "a memo of how we're going to take out seven countries in five years." On the list are countries that have all been on the receiving end, militarily, of the United States. Only Iran was left.

It is, of course, possible to go back as far as the US despised Islamic revolution and recall the Iran hostage crisis (1979–81) in which militants in Iran seized 66 American citizens at the U.S. embassy in Tehran and held 52 of them hostage for more than a year. This epidsode, brilliantly depicted in the film Argo, is something that many older neocons in the US have never forgotten or forgiven.

Further, as Brian Berletic has correctly identified, what is currently being carried out with respect to Iran fits very closely with the plan laid out in the policy document “Which Path to Persia”, published by the Brookings Institution as far back as June, 2009.

The words “regime change” appears an astounding 92 times in this document of just 156 pages. Chapter 5 is even called “Leave it to Bibi: Allowing or Encouraging an Israeli Military Strike”, and proposes exactly what is going on now:

The United States would encourage—and perhaps even assist—the Israelis in conducting the strikes themselves, in the expectation that both international criticism and Iranian retaliation would be deflected away from the United States and onto Israel.

The underlying meaning, of course, it that though Israel has an oversized influence in Washington, DC, it is still the United States that is calling the shots. This, of course, brings to the fore the responsibility of Donald J. Trump for this crisis.

Though there is a genuine and understandable wish in the United States (and many other countries) not to see an Iran with nuclear weapons, in Washington and for the neocons in particular, this has quite clearly been at best a secondary issue or at worst an excuse for the real goal: regime change in Tehran.

Negotiations have at times been tried (even successfully with the JCPOA) but these have been frustrating for the neocons whose real goal has always been regime change also in Iran in order to gain influence in the region, give power to Israel, weaken Russian and China (BRI), and of course feed the Military Industrial Complex. It is impossible to forget when McCain infamously sang to the tune of the Beach Boys: "Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran" 18 years ago…

The boogieman argument of using Iran’s apparently always relatively close to finalising a nuclear bomb, should have become completely discredited years ago if the public had been a little more concerned and interested about international affairs. In the last year or so, the timeline for a Iranian bomb gone from years to less than a year, or just weeks, or even days (!). Here are just a few articles and statements from the last two years:

1. February 28, 2023 (≈2 weeks from fuel for bomb). “Iran Could Make Fuel for Nuclear Bomb in Less Than 2  Weeks, Milley Says”.

2. April 11, 2024 (days away from getting the bomb). “The Hunt: Iran just days away from becoming a nuclear power”.

3. July 2024 (1–2 weeks from the nuclear weapon breakout). “Blinken Says Iran’s Nuclear Weapon Breakout Time Is Probably Down to 1–2 Weeks”.

4. January 2025 (3-5 weeks to building bomb) “How quickly could Iran build its first nuclear weapon? Look at China”.

5. February 2025 (1 week for uranium for several bombs) “Iran’s Nuclear Timetable: The Weapon Potential”.

From Le Monde

Maybe if there was such true concern about Iran getting a nuclear bomb, it would have been better not to threaten the country for over 40 years, because threatened countries tend to look for deterrence.

As it happens, there is no official confirmation from the most interested party, namely the United States, that Iran is actually building a nuclear bomb, let alone that it has a nuclear weapons program. Here is a reminder of the latest US Intelligence Agencies’ Annual Threat Assessment from March 2025:

We continue to assess Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and that Khamenei has not reauthorized the nuclear weapons program he suspended in 2003, though pressure has probably built on him to do so. (p26)

Tulsi Gabbard, head of DNI, reasserted it publicy on March 25th 2025 during her opening statement at Senate hearing on global threats:

Iran now going for the bomb?

Several prominent Iranians have said that Iran would actually start to develop a nuclear bomb if it was attacked (an attack ostensibly to prevent it from building a bomb!).

This in itself could be seen as Iran trying to build deterrence against getting attacked. The idea is that attacking Iran, IF the real goal is to prevent Iran from getting the bomb, may then yet prove to be an own goal. This again hints at the real reason for the war on Iran being regime change and not one of preventing or stopping a nuclear weapons program, which in any case the US Intelligence Community keeps repeating year after year is non-existent.

In order to proceed towards assembling and then exploding a first nuclear device, Iran would first have to, 1) annul the Fatwa against the development of nuclear weapons from Ayatollah Khamenei and 2) officially leave the Non Proliferation Treaty.

To annul the Fatwa, a simple decision to do so is enough, as Iran warned already 4 years ago:

For the first time, [in 2021] a senior government Iranian official has publicly stated that a fatwa by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, regarding the prohibition of the production, stockpiling and use of nuclear weapons, might be up for reconsideration.

[The Fatwa] can in principle be revised according to circumstances and "expediency": the supposed basis of all governance and decision-making in the Islamic Republic. This practically means that a small and powerful group in Iran, with Ayatollah Khamenei at the head, can enact or overturn any ruling they choose: even if it flies in the face of law and the Constitution.

To leave the NPT, it simply necessary to follow the following process:

Article X.I of the NPT provides that “each Party shall in exercising its national sovereignty have the right to withdraw from the Treaty if it decides that extraordinary events, related to the subject matter of this Treaty, have jeopardized the supreme interests of its country. It shall give notice of such withdrawal to all other parties to the Treaty and to the United Nations Security Council three months in advance. Such notice shall include a statement of the extraordinary events it regards as having jeopardized its supreme interests.”

One would think that a full-blown military attack by Israel would count as an “extraordinary event”…

Further, experts agree that the key nuclear facilities of Iran most certainly cannot be destroyed by Israel, perhaps not even with the bunker buster bombs that the US has (which would mean anyway a direct involvement of the US in the war, which is another escalation). Some are apparently located even hundreds of meters under the mountains.

In conclusion, therefore, there is no logic to this war by Israel on Iran, if one were to stick to the official or surface narrative of preventing Iran to get the bomb. All evidence points to a regime-change military operation organized and executed by the US and Israel, and supported by most of the obedient Western political establishments.

Some Additional Thoughts

A few additional thoughts come to mind:

Firstly, it seems in hindsight that Iran should have developed a nuclear weapon decades ago in order to prevent it from being attacked by obviously hostile nations, US and Israel. The case of North Korea is a good example that nuclear deterrent really works. It is clear that such an initiative could have been discovered and could thus have triggered a US-Israel war on Iran earlier, but it might have been a viable strategy for Iran.

Secondly, one reason Iran did not pursue a nuclear bomb, notwithstanding (at least ostensibly) religious reasons, is that this would probably have kicked off a nuclear arms race in the Middle East, with at least Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey probably then wanting one too. Iran’s goal and position in the Middle East has always been one favoring stability, though at the same time through different means rejecting Israel’s constant violations of international law towards the Palestinian people.

Thirdly, it is probable that one of the reasons Iran stopped its nuclear weapons program is that it had, in the early 2000s, mastered the whole process of constructing a bomb, in theory. The only thing that was missing was the enrichment of uranium to 90% U235 in order to get enough fissile material. (Again, perpetuating this phase of near-completion could have been seen as a kind of nuclear deterrent in itself, were it not for the reckless Israelis and the war-mongering USA.) This was more or less admitted recently by none other than Feyedoon Abbasi, the previous Director of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI), who, not coincidentally of course, was killed by the first day of Israel’s war on Iran, on June 13th 2025. Mr. Abbasi also added to an Iranian TV station: “So far, we have not received orders to build [a nuclear bomb]. If they tell me to build it, I will do it.”

All this background is important to keep in mind as the war unfolds. How this whole conflict will now play out is another story.